最新民调出炉:全台湾民众最欣赏郝龙斌,国民党支持者最挺郑丽文
最新民调出炉:全台湾民众最欣赏郝龙斌,国民党支持者最挺郑丽文
  • 2026-03-21 06:44:03
    来源:划粥割齑网

    最新民调出炉:全台湾民众最欣赏郝龙斌,国民党支持者最挺郑丽文

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    \u003cdiv class=\"rich_media_content\"\u003e\u003c!--NO_AD_ERROR_2--\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 20px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 18px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e海峡导报综合报道\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 18px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e “台湾民意基金会”今天(17日)公布即时民调显示,在最欣赏的国民党主席候选人中,郝龙斌以24.2%高居第一,郑丽文以14.1%排名第二;但国民党支持者中,28.6%最欣赏郑丽文,21.2%最欣赏郝龙斌。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"text-align: center\"\u003e\u003c!--IMG_0--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 20px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 18px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e被问到谁是台湾民众最欣赏的国民党主席候选人?(单选),民调结果为24.2%郝龙斌、14.1%郑丽文、9%罗智强、2.9%卓伯源、2.6%张亚中,1.6%都欣赏、16.4%都不欣赏、16.9%没意见、6.2%不知道、拒答。该民调显示,在国民党主席选举的最后阶段,郝龙斌是相对最受台湾民众青睐的候选人,领先郑丽文10.1%。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--NO_AD_0--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_0--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_0--\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 20px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 18px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e此外,“除了上述人选外,您还欣赏哪一位?(单选)”选项结果发现:罗智强以22%拔得头筹,郑丽文以 17.3%位居第二,郝龙斌11.6%落居第三,其他依序是7.9%卓伯源,7.4%张亚中,1.3%蔡志弘。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--NO_AD_1--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_1--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_1--\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 20px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 18px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e将第一选择与第二选择相加,可以发现一个清楚的状态,那就是,这次国民党主席选举,郝龙斌拥有35.8%的民众青睐,郑丽文31.4%,罗智强31%,卓伯源11.8%,张亚中10%,蔡志弘1.3%。基本上是郝龙斌、郑丽文、罗智强三强竞逐的局面。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--NO_AD_2--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_2--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_2--\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 20px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 18px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e“台湾民意基金会”董事长游盈隆表示,不过国民党主席选举不是根据全台湾民众的民调结果决定,而是根据国民党全体党员票选决定。因为没有国民党有资格投票全体党员名册资料,一个替代性的作法是去观察三大变数。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--NO_AD_3--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_3--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_3--\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 20px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 18px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e他说,第一,从政党支持倾向看,国民党支持者中,28.6%最欣赏郑丽文,21.2%最欣赏郝龙斌,17.8%最欣赏罗智强,其他依序是卓伯源、张亚中、蔡志弘。从“统独倾向”看,统派支持者中,最欣赏的前三名依序是,28.6%郑丽文、19.7%郝龙斌、18.3%罗智强;现状派支持者中,最欣赏的前三名依序是,20.9%郑丽文、19.9%郝龙斌、13.9%罗智强。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--NO_AD_4--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_4--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_4--\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 20px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 18px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e他说,根据以上分析,全民调所呈现的选民偏好模式和国民党支持者的偏好模式有明显不同,全台湾民众民意呈现的第一选择是郝龙斌,但国民党支持者的第一选择却是郑丽文。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cdiv powered-by=\"qqnews_ex-editor\"\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\u003cstyle\u003e.rich_media_content{--news-tabel-th-night-color: #444444;--news-font-day-color: #333;--news-font-night-color: #d9d9d9;--news-bottom-distance: 22px}.rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}.rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-day-color);font-size:18px}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-night-color)}}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-night-color)}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content{font-size:18px}.rich_media_content p[data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]{margin-bottom:11px}.rich_media_content\u003ediv:not(.qnt-video),.rich_media_content\u003esection{margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance)}.rich_media_content hr{margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance)}.rich_media_content .link_list{margin:0;margin-top:20px;min-height:0!important}.rich_media_content blockquote{background:#f9f9f9;border-left:6px solid #ccc;margin:1.5em 10px;padding:.5em 10px}.rich_media_content blockquote p{margin-bottom:0!important}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content blockquote{background:#323232}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content blockquote{background:#323232}}.rich_media_content ol[data-ex-list]{--ol-start: 1;--ol-list-style-type: decimal;list-style-type:none;counter-reset:olCounter calc(var(--ol-start,1) - 1);position:relative}.rich_media_content ol[data-ex-list]\u003eli\u003e:first-child::before{content:counter(olCounter,var(--ol-list-style-type)) '. 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